.The S&P 500 ended its two-week skid, finishing up 1.5% from last Friday. The index is now just inches below its record close from January 23, 2025 and is up 4.19% year to date.

The table below summarizes the number of record highs reached each year dating back to 2013.

Here is a snapshot of the index over the past 5 days:

Here is a snapshot of the index from the past six months with a 50-day moving average:

As of February 14th, the U.S. Treasury put the closing yield on the 10-year note at 4.47% and the 2-year note at 4.26%. See our latest Treasury Snapshot here. ETFs associated with Treasuries include: iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY), iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF), and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT).

S&P 500: A Perspective on Drawdowns

On October 9, 2007 the S&P 500 reached a then all-time high, closing the day at 1565.15. Then on March 9, 2009, the index dropped ~57% off of its high from exactly 17 months before, closing the day at 676.53. This time period became known as the Global Financial Crisis. It took over 5 years before the index reached a new then all-time high on March 28, 2013, where it closed out at 1569.19. The chart below is a snapshot of record highs and selloffs since the 2007 peak reached on October 9, 2007.

What happens if we take out the Global Financial Crisis? Here’s a snapshot the same chart above where the start date has been changed to the trough reached on March 9, 2009. Note the recent selloffs in 2022.

Here’s a few tables with the number of days of a 1% or greater change in either direction and the number of days of corrections (down 10% or more from the record high).

Here is a linear chart of the index since October 9, 2007:

Here is a linearly scaled version of the same chart with the 50- and 200-day moving averages. The index has been above its 200-day moving average since November 1st, 2023. For the past few weeks, the index and its 50-day moving average have been crossing each other. The index is currently ahead.

S&P 500: A Perspective on Volatility

For a sense of the correlation between the closing price and intraday volatility, the chart below overlays the S&P 500 since 2007 with the intraday price range. I’ve also included a 20-day moving average to identify trends in volatility. On December 18, the index experienced its largest intraday price volatility (3.45%) since November 30, 2022 (3.59%).

S&P 500 versus S&P Equal Weight

The S&P 500 is market cap-weighted index which includes roughly the 500 largest U.S. stocks spanning 11 sectors. The S&P 500 Equal Weight Index includes the same constituents as the S&P 500 but each company is equally weighted at a fixed weight. So how do these two indexes match up against each other this year?

The S&P 500 is currently up 4.19% year to date, while the S&P Equal Weight is up 3.52% year to date.

ETFs associated with the S&P 500 include: iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV), SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPLG), and Invesco S&P 500® Equal Weight ETF (RSP).

Originally published on Advisor Perspectives.

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